TRANSCRIPT
on in the world. Ron, how are you, my friend? Good. I got some fun stuff for today. Some more
bad product designs for everybody to chuckle at. Here we go again. I had to take out one.
I had to take out one because It was a little too non Disney and I didn’t
want to get more people upset than I have in the past, but they are fun.
We should probably just do a separate show of that. What am I going to do? We’ll save that for a
late night edition, the adult swim version. Yeah. We’re having a cocktail while we’re doing it.
Sense of things, adult swim. Oh God. All right. So you want to kick us off here? Yeah, let’s dive in.
I saw this and I had to look at this twice. So [00:01:00] I don’t know if this is like a verb
and they’re trying to encourage people to use the razors in a bad way or this is just the name of
the company or the brand. I’m, not really sure do it And by the way, there’s five in case you’re not
successful the first time yeah Just in case they dull while you’re doing it while you’re doing it.
We have five. Oh, okay. I got you All right. So that’s the
razor blade. Yahoo then You I was never a Harry Potter person, but I’m telling you,
would you buy this for your kid? That’s the creepiest looking thing I’ve ever seen. What
the hell is it supposed to be? I think it’s like a car, like it’s moving on the broomstick.
Yeah I get that, but I’m like, why is he blue? I don’t know,
but I think the eyes were bugging me out more than anything else. I’m with you. That’s the
creepiest looking thing I’ve ever seen. Yeah. I’m not sure how many of these were sold,
but yeah, I’m thinking it’s probably not a big one. Hey, I like this.
Do you go to a sporting event? [00:02:00] You don’t feel like holding your pizza. It’s
a pizza pouch, folks. You bring your pizza with you to the event and it’s,
it’s like jewelry. Listen, I think Jeff Foxworthy would have a field day with
this. If you think you’re a redneck or whatever, it might be a redneck.
If you have a pizza pouch, I’m thinking. So now the only thing is, the pizza pouch, I think is an,
is a an extra accessory to the the hat that’s got the two beers in it that you drink out of, right?
I get it. I’m thinking, what if you got a whole pie? It’ll look like a wall clock on your chest.
Let’s get the big thing coming up with this crap. But then again,
look at the name of the brand. Stupid idiotic. So I like this saying,
I think people come up with this stuff because Ron Popiel didn’t come up with
it. Yeah. And of course, you’ve got the paper thing in there that’s got stupid idiotic on
it, [00:03:00] but to make sure that, That the person wearing this is stupid, idiotic.
It’s still emblazoned across the top there. Maybe it’s a Halloween gag thing. Who knows? I,
wow. All right. And then if you got a little more serious,
so we’ve done this before at the CNN business and fear and greed index. And I wasn’t going
to do this. And then I started really looking at some of the numbers and didn’t
make any sense because We’ve been in the fear level for the last couple of weeks.
You can see where we are. The previous close, a week ago,
a month ago, we were greed. Now all of a sudden we’re in fear. I fear, yeah,
this is the eek G that’s going on, but this is interesting. We are within 2% of all time highs,
but stock strength is at extreme fear. Stock breath is at a fear level.
So if we’re 2% from all time highs. Why is there fear and extreme fear? Yeah,
and then just going into a couple more things [00:04:00] this makes sense,
I guess Stock price strength is that extreme fear that you know, I guess that makes sense if we’re
at a 39 fear Stock price breadth is we’re at a fear level safe haven demand is that extreme fear?
And of course if all those are fearful Then at the junk bond level, people are putting money
into there because they’re getting eight, nine, 10 plus percent yield on it as a way of saying if I
go into a fund couple, get, delinquent, who cares? I’m still getting my eight, nine, 10 percent sure.
The money has been pumping into that over the last 30 days. What are your thoughts on this?
Cause we have, it’s confusing to me, interestingly enough. It’s actually. I haven’t looked at that
index, but the trading strategy that I have is actually, we’re almost 25 percent in portfolios
in junk and it’s, it’s been that way for the last probably two and a half, three months.
And [00:05:00] we’ve done extremely well. We were in junk early last fall and then we got out of it.
Cause it was I thought it was a little pricey. But it just keeps being the place to be at this
point, even though you’re getting, 5 percent basically on a treasury bond taking no risk.
I think people are still wanting that extra, the extra juice that they get, and you’re not seeing
it really from the dividend side of the market. Dividends really have not been great. They’ve not,
I always love the dividend aristocrats. And I was looking at maybe I could take
some of our profits and shift some of that to dividend aristocrats.
And I thought the funniest part is you start looking at the top 25 dividend aristocrats
and their stocks have been down for a year and a half. Like precipitously down, not,
okay it’s just been flat and you’re earning dividends. Why would I want to be in that? I,
at least with junk bonds, I’m like, they’re not really supposed [00:06:00] to go up much
in value, but you’re earning that extra dividend.
And, I think you’re taking a little bit less risk than I would be able
to go down. They’re going to go up in value. Yeah. Yeah. And that’s the other
thing I brought up about aristocrats. I just saw this last week. There was a
dividend aristocrat that’s been increasing their dividend for 63 consecutive years.
Yep. Just stop the dividend. Oh, ouch. 3M, Minnesota Mining and Manufacturing. Yep. Just
stop their dividend. Wow. The market is so good. And this one’s been increasing 63 years longer
than you and I’ve been alive. I, that’s amazing. Sorry. You’re no longer pay out to the investors.
Yeah. We’re not going to, at this point, I don’t know, but no, we’re taking that money and we’re
investing in an artificial intelligence to figure out better ways to to create, glue for [00:07:00]
our, Or sticky notes, I think yeah, I was gonna say the post there are posty people posted notes.
Yep. Oh my god So yeah, I thought that was interesting. Yeah, that’s what I got for
today something to look at maybe once a month You know just to see where this is
But yeah yeah I think it’s been a couple months since we’ve looked at the fear and
greed index and I think if we had looked at it more often it would have been like one week.
It’s fear one week It’s greed, it’s just snapping back and forth like crazy. Here
we are. We hit a bottom in april, of a five and a half percent pullback and here
we’ve come back three percent or so ish and here we are. We’re still at fear and extreme
fear conditions within two percent of all time highs and we’re up a little bit today.
Yeah yeah, I’m not throwing my arms in the air yet. We’re managing portfolios. We got to be
smart about things How do you know, we how do you put money to work today begrudgingly,
you have to do It’s tough fear and like I said fear and extreme fear and we’ve just
blown through the 50 day moving averages [00:08:00] And on the way back up and,
do we get to all time highs and keep blowing through?
I don’t know. I don’t know if we’re going to be range bound here through
the election or if we’re going to continue to see this thing climb. But, once again,
you got to make hay while you can. But I think you have to pay really
close attention to what’s going on in the markets, if you’re managing your own money,
because I know Ron and I are doing, are having to do that with our own, client portfolios.
If you’re managing it by yourself, you’ve got to pay a lot closer attention now,
because this can move very quickly against you if you don’t pay attention to it. But
if you react to it too fast, it can snap back against you. Yeah. Till next week,
it’s a challenging time, but we will we will keep being here and that’s why we
do these shows for you so that you guys are up to date on what’s going on there.
We don’t have an ax to grind here. We just report the facts as we see them and give our opinions of
it. But we’re not sitting here on CNBC coming on [00:09:00] and babbling about useless crap
that we don’t, that we have no idea what we’re talking about at that point. So folks, thank you.
Make sure you subscribe to the channel and make sure you hit that little upvote to let
us know that you exist out there and more than anything. Give us a comment. If you
have any questions, comments, anything like that. Love to hear it. Once again,
we’re trying to keep these shows a little bit shorter so that you have time to consume them.
And, on a quick few minutes, you can pop on and and see what we’re talking