TRANSCRIPT
Jeff Kikel: Good morning, Cents of things. It’s Jeff and Ron here again
for another wonderful world of what’s going on in the crazy world of economy,
U. S., and just a few crazy fun facts here and there. Hey, Ron, how you doing?
Ron Lang: Good
Jeff Kikel: morning,
Ron Lang: doing well. Based on the last couple of podcasts,
I hopefully have a lot of very useful facts for us today because those were always some fun things.
Ron Lang: Always get some good comments. So anything that’s useful is always good.
Jeff Kikel: Absolutely. Why don’t we kick ourselves off? Of course
we’re going into Memorial Day weekend this weekend. And why don’t we kick it
off with some of your fun stuff that you have with bad business decisions.
Jeff Kikel: Cause that’s been a big kicker lately.
Ron Lang: Okay. All right. Let me
Jeff Kikel: and I have to give props to you [00:01:00] because
you did the bad business decisions about red lobster and a week later,
red lobster filed for bankruptcy. So they listened to you.
Ron Lang: Anyway, I just read another article yesterday. They are blaming not just the the all
you can eat shrimp, but now they’re blaming the largest investor and the former CEO.
Ron Lang: So they got to blame somebody. So
Jeff Kikel: yeah, it couldn’t be that we were just a really bad business and it didn’t work. So
Ron Lang: no, and the consumer has been changing in the last four years and he
didn’t adopt. So what are you going to do? All right. So I got two good ones here. RCA,
I guess you have to be of a certain age to remember this company.
Ron Lang: This company over a hundred years ago was the the Amazon, the Apple,
the Microsoft and the NVIDIA of its world at the time because they were
real big with radios. And then record players, they basically controlled
the dissemination of information and entertainment [00:02:00] for decades.
Jeff Kikel: Yeah.
Ron Lang: And I thought reading this was interesting, but I, if you read it in the
middle here, It tried to expand right because it couldn’t keep up with tv. Sure. So bought random
house publisher I didn’t know this they own hertz Okay, frozen food banquet maker banquet,
which i’ve seen i’ve never bought any of that stuff But they own both the publishing house,
and hertz and then of course you can see in the upper left here That its peak revenue
rather ironically was 8 billion and 80 81 But I don’t know how much of that was their
core business or How much of that was Hertz or Random House, but I thought it was interesting.
Jeff Kikel: The funny part is that is the complete, I think is an, I think this was an
example that Peter Lynch gave in his book, One Up on Wall Street, where he talked about companies de
worcifying. And I think he gave RCA as an example of diversification, getting into a bunch of
[00:03:00] these random businesses that they don’t know anything about and trying to be successful
and all they end up doing is being not successful with any of them, including their core business.
Jeff Kikel: You
Ron Lang: could make an argument on the publishing with information and media
and whatever. But I thought it was interesting because obviously they just fell off the face of
the earth in five years. And Jack Welch in 86. Scooped them up for probably a major discount.
Jeff Kikel: Yeah, and then basically did nothing with
it because they don’t even use the RCA Brand anymore.
Ron Lang: No, but there still is an RCA Building in Camden, New Jersey that they converted the
condos Here’s one of my favorite ones american motors I mean you want to talk about a poorly
run company Missing the market with the japanese invasion of their cars in the late 60s 70s and 80s
And then finally they were bought out by another struggling company that came up from the depths
of disaster in 87 [00:04:00] people typically remember american motors Three different ways.
Ron Lang: I’ll give you the best one. The best one was in 1974 in the James
Bond movie when he did a sideways loop to loop over the ramp. That was what I
was living. Let die. Yeah, I was living. Let die in 71 or 71 or 73. And then,
of course, they’re known for the Pinto. Exploded. No. They are known to pacer.
Ron Lang: They’re not the pacer. Oh no. And the, that’s for that third one, the pacer for the
ugliest car in history. Yes. That last featured and got a bump in Waynesboro, a 1982 movie.
Jeff Kikel: Absolutely. And it is one of the most
collectible 1970s cars today. Next to the And thing was they trying to
Ron Lang: make it look space age with all the glass around it, with all the, which.
Ron Lang: Oh God, that was there.
Jeff Kikel: My favorite. I’m a huge I watch tons of automotive media and all that,
and there was a YouTube thing where it had a fully blown [00:05:00] pinto, or excuse me,
a fully blown pacer and a fully blown gremlin racing against each other.
Ron Lang: Awesome. The two
Jeff Kikel: greatest cars of 19, the Pinto, they were
Ron Lang: kind of similar cars.
Jeff Kikel: Oh yeah. No, the Gremlin, the grimmy is the
Ron Lang: baddest of ’em all, but yeah. All right, so I thought this was interesting. I saw this and
of course you swipe it So looking at prices of food going back five years ago to now Oh,
so looking at the McDonald’s Taco Bell and Chick fil a I love Chick fil a,
but it comes back to bite me the next day with all its sodium Not that everybody needed
to know that but they do have the best vanilla shakes Chick fil a has the best vanilla shakes.
Ron Lang: So I thought this was interesting that basically almost
all of this is a hundred percent increase. Wow. Now, how much of the,
how much of the input cost of this increases labor versus actual food? I don’t know.
Jeff Kikel: [00:06:00] Yeah. You figure,
some of these things, I’m all, especially chicken, was massive.
Jeff Kikel: Especially in, you figure in 2022 where we had that massive,
they had to call all the chickens because of the bird flu. That was going around.
The price of chicken went through the roof there
Jeff Kikel: For several years. So anybody that had exposure to chicken,
that was probably pretty ugly.
Ron Lang: And I thought this was the other part of this was interesting as another useless fact
for our audience That you try to identify this, the pigdottos identified the source of where
they got the prices Do you know what figueroa street is known as known for in los angeles?
Jeff Kikel: Not
Ron Lang: a clue prostitution and drugs sweet Why they chose?
Ron Lang: That every the most random place I have no idea. Yeah By the way,
I don’t know from first hand experience. I just i’m just aware
Jeff Kikel: just
Ron Lang: saying So another couple of things I thought was interesting doing
a little nostalgia instead of [00:07:00] five years. Let’s go back 30 look at just
the input of inflation into the economy and the stimulus, as far as you take a look in 1994,
of all these major companies and of all these major companies,
really only mobile and Walmart have really grown and excelled in and flourished.
Ron Lang: IBM has gone up and down as trying to make another comeback. AT& T is languished.
Philip Morris is languished. Sears. Sears isn’t even around anymore. And ge,
everybody likes to look at their stock price, but people don’t realize they did a one for 10 split,
not a 10 for one split. Wherever the price is now, you gotta look.
Ron Lang: Divide that by 10. That’s, yeah, that’s where it was Pre-split. But it, all,
that adds up to $841 trillion. The top stocks here have surpassed it. Just Amazon and Walmart, or if
you want to add it up, Exxon and Amazon surpassed all those companies combined in 1994. [00:08:00]
Jeff Kikel: Yeah.
Jeff Kikel: Amazing. And and it’s a kind of an interesting split. You would think,
oh, it’s all tech companies, but you’ve got Chevron and mobile. That are in there. You’ve
got McKesson, which is in its own industry, Berkshire Hathaway. That’s largely been him
just acquiring and acquiring companies that were on the left side of the chart there for
Ron Lang: a while.
Ron Lang: Remember back in the day, 30 years ago,
obviously IBM was a tech company and AT& T were trying to make themselves Latino out
to be a tech company and they were not, but notice back, back then,
even now, they’re just trying to. Give you a comparison, where’s Microsoft and, Apple is, 1994.
Ron Lang: They were near the bottom. Yeah, Steve Jobs didn’t come back to what 97 or 98. Funny
Jeff Kikel: thing as I look at Ford as an example, I don’t think it’s moved in. It’s
been in a trading range for as long as I can remember back now It’s been dead money for
Ron Lang: 20 years. I think near 20.
Jeff Kikel: Yeah, and gm’s gone up a little bit, but ford
[00:09:00] Literally, I look at that and i’m just like okay.
Jeff Kikel: It’s not moved at all It’s amazing to me that investors have hung in there
Ron Lang: Yeah, and just talking a little bit about market conditions without getting too
wonky about this So folks on the right side, we’ve gone through this before
Rsi relative strength index. Basically anything below 30 is considered Oversold
meaning that you’re going to look for a bump and anything over 70 is considered overbought.
Ron Lang: We’re at 91 I mean you can’t stay up here forever and we always see what kind of the
downside is here But I thought this was a just a quick interesting colorful chart You’re doing a
good visual and then this is a different because we’ve always done the cnn, green and fear index
This is another one comparing a lot of different sentiments out there that when they combine it all
together you know the aaii most people familiar with that’s the investment, Sentiment index
and [00:10:00] obviously the VIX people are familiar with and it’s an extreme greed
conditions And it has been looks like for the last six to eight months Which probably
since last october when we hit bottom at the end of october like around october 27
Jeff Kikel: Yeah,
Ron Lang: what are your thoughts here?
Jeff Kikel: I think it’s just you know, once again people had that we saw that
little poll I mean we saw a pretty decent pullback in april You And then all of a
sudden the market’s just right back up and beyond that at this point, and the world is
wonderful. I think we had a little bit of a blip this week because once again people reading
the feds minutes and oh they’re probably going to raise interest rates again Okay.
Jeff Kikel: No, that’s not what it said Once again, I heard that this morning Unlikely,
it’s unlikely. Okay. Then that means that it could be likely. Yeah,
it’s as it also Is possibly as likely as us seeing a meteor hit the planet. Yes,
it could happen It’s very unlikely that it will go up and it’s [00:11:00] very unlikely.
Jeff Kikel: I think personally,
that it’s going to go down anytime soon. I think we stay where we’re at the election
Ron Lang: unless there’s got to be a catalyst or a trigger or something, horrible
Jeff Kikel: things going to have to happen to cause it to go down. And
I don’t necessarily see that at this point, but I think,
as we go into our next episode I’ve got some stuff for that next episode where, it is.
Jeff Kikel: I think there’s some things on the horizon that are starting to show
up that we might we, we might have some issues when it comes to that. So I’ll tease that for
everybody watch the next episode and I’ve got some kind of charts to show
where the consumer is right now, at least in some aspects from a credit standpoint.
Ron Lang: Yeah, definitely want to wish everybody a happy Memorial Day weekend,
honor our military and certainly get the barbecue out. There’s nothing better. Yeah. Barbecue
Jeff Kikel: and saw this morning that the Marines [00:12:00] and the Air
Force actually beat their recruiting goals. Army and Navy, not so much at this point.
Jeff Kikel: Now, Air Force did it by adjusting their requirements to get in. That,
although they were, they made a point of saying that everybody that’s in is
making it through training and getting into better shape, but they had to.
Change it a little bit because our current recruiting crop is a little out of shape
Ron Lang: Yeah, and just as a tease and I know we got to wrap up if all the recruiting
goals are up, they lower the standards to get people in to certain Branches,
those are also considered government jobs,
Jeff Kikel: of course Yep we’ll need that and we definitely need
a whole bunch more on the army and the navy side.
Jeff Kikel: So we’ll see how that works out All right,
folks. Thank you for joining us. We love doing these shows for you and we’re trying
to make them as quick as we possibly can. So quick hit and get off. So thank y’all
for joining us. Make sure that you subscribe to the channel because there’s going to be a
lot of these coming out [00:13:00] and make sure you give us an upvote or some comments.
Jeff Kikel: We’d love to hear from you. So thanks a lot. And
we will see you back here the very next time.