TRANSCRIPT
Introduction and Episode Overview
The Economic Impacts of Hurricanes | Cents of
Things Ep 77 ===
Jeff Kikel: [00:00:00] Hey everyone and welcome once again to the Cents of things and we are here
to have a fun time Talking to you a little bit about business talking to you about the markets
and talking to you a little bit About what’s going on. This episode today, I want to start us off and
tell you a little bit about some fun business names, best business names I could find today.
Jeff Kikel: And of course, we just saw the end of the the hurricane and Hurricane Milton that
just burst across Florida. Those folks are, getting through this right now. They’ve just
been through Hale, through Helene a couple of weeks ago. But what I wanted to do,
of course, all these times that we see these types of things, of course,
everybody’s agenda comes out and I wanted to give you some real data to talk about.
Jeff Kikel: So we’re going to talk about that a little bit today. So hang on,
we’ll be right back in just a second.
[00:01:00]
Jeff Kikel:
Hey, everybody. Welcome back. It’s Jeff and Ron here again. Hey, Ron, how you doing, bud?
Ron Lang: Good morning. Never a dull day, as we like to say. Plenty of news between the
hurricane, as you were talking about, and everything that’s going on in the market.
Ron Lang: And Obviously what’s coming up here in November.
Jeff Kikel: Absolutely. Yeah. We’ve got what, 27 days to the election. We’ve got
another fed rate cut, maybe happening in the future here. We don’t know what that’s
going to look like. Inflation numbers were eh today. So everything is just a little I just
say it’s eh at this point but the market keeps creeping its way up, climbing a wall of worry.
Ron Lang: Again, all the core economic indicators are heading
down other than inflation and the market we’re at all time
highs basically. So I don’t quite the conundrum [00:02:00] and quite scary
Jeff Kikel: at the same time to the answer when I get asked is we keep working. Then we keep working
with what we have, which is the market’s climbing the wall of worry at this point.
Jeff Kikel: That’s all I can tell you. And we’ll go from there. Agree. What do you
got for us? Let’s kick off with the best business names. I’m going to do this in
Best Business Names Countdown
a David Letterman countdown mode. All right. So best business names. Number nine, going postal.
They sell guns of us who grew up in the the 1980s.
Jeff Kikel: This means a lot. Going postal, that’s the name of their business. Love it.
All right. Number eight, Sam and Ella’s chicken palace. So I’m not sure if I really want to show
up to this place called Salmonella’s, but and I love it. The chicken palace plus pizza and
subs and everything else. I originally typed it as Salmonella’s pizza and subs.
Jeff Kikel: And then I [00:03:00] looked down and saw chicken palace there. So I had to go
back and pull it up. So just I don’t know if I can stomach salmonella jitters, coffee shop,
probably the most straightforward name to you, actually. I like that. I thought it was
Ron Lang: great.
Jeff Kikel: It’s just, that’s like naming a
Ron Lang: comedy club.
Ron Lang: Chuckles.
Jeff Kikel: Yeah, exactly. Yeah. Laffos or something. Number six,
pass more gas and propane. It’s just an unfortunate place to have a,
to be located in the town of Passmore and own the gas company that’s there. But just,
I went to high school with a guy with that last name. I really didn’t
Ron Lang: associate all that together.
Ron Lang: Ah,
Jeff Kikel: if you put the two together, once again, these are the unfortunate
names. There’ll be another additional unfortunate name coming down the road here,
just outta curiosity, is that in the same town as the b and m baked beans? I think
so. Yes it is. It’s right next to b and m. Baked beans at Passmore gas.
Jeff Kikel: Very nice. Am I gone? Funeral [00:04:00] home perfectly. One,
I would say, I hope you are if you’re there,
am I gone? I think perfect name. This is a fortunate business name when it comes to,
Ron Lang: and I heard working there is a real dead end job. So it really
Jeff Kikel: is a dead end job.
Jeff Kikel: It’s in, it goes along with how many people are dead in the cemetery. Hopefully all
of them. All right, here’s the tobacco and beer place called chewing butts. It,
it looks like it’s out west. It’s chewing butts, discount tobacco and beer.
Jeff Kikel: Number three, the most creative name on this whole thing,
Tequila Mockingbird. I don’t know what they do. I am assuming that’s pretty good.
Ron Lang: That’s pretty awesome.
Jeff Kikel: I think it is the greatest name. It’s the most creative one on this whole list.
Number two, the most unfortunate name because this person didn’t have control over this.
Jeff Kikel: Cause this is his name. Stubbs prosthetics and orthotics may have thought
to [00:05:00] go into a different business than this, Hey, whatever. Listen, when he was born,
he was probably ordained to go in that business. It pretty much was.
And it may be a family business for many years. And number one STD contractors.
Jeff Kikel: Now this is not. Unfortunate it is not creative. This is just a stupid name. Hey,
listen, the three owners could have been Steve, Tom and Dave. We don’t know. Very
well could be. And nobody thought to put all that together as one word,
or maybe switch it around a little bit, but they are the STD contracts.
Jeff Kikel: Very nice. Very nice. Wow. So Milton and Helene go away. It’s interesting
Hurricane Milton and Helene Discussion
to see the response between the two. I know the North Carolina governor is getting a
lot of flack. For all this stuff going on and it is a horrible thing. Don’t get me
wrong. I come from Western North Carolina. So I know what the territory is like there
and you just don’t expect a hurricane to come and park on [00:06:00] top of you.
Jeff Kikel: And that in that territory, you’ve got a lot of rural population in the area that
it hit and it is horrible. And, yes. The governor kind of got caught flatfooted. FEMA really monkey
this thing up bad mainly because they’re trying to deal with multiple hurricanes and
all kinds of stuff all over the country not defending them by any way, shape, or form.
Jeff Kikel: But that was a real weird one. Helene just cutting up the middle. You see the opposite,
Florida was really prepared for Milton. They just had Helene whipped through a few weeks
ago. But you just see that, places that are used to this, they can get ahead of the game so much,
they really were prepared and, I think they’ll be able to get in, get Florida back on, on track.
Jeff Kikel: North Carolina, Western Kentucky or Eastern Kentucky, Tennessee. It’s going
to be a while before they get back up and running because there’s just not a lot of
stuff to go there and fix the problem. I think. [00:07:00] What I see out of this,
Historical Hurricane Data Analysis
every time I see this, then I start to hear the politicians and people,
oh this is the worst hurricane season we’ve seen ever and all that.
Jeff Kikel: And I’m a data guy. Most of you know that I watch this. I am a big data guy.
I need data and I need to understand things. So I just actually Google search, history of
hurricanes. And I came up with this from The National Hurricane Center. And what it does
is it breaks down by decade how many, hurricanes we had total, how many major hurricanes we’ve had.
Jeff Kikel: And, what I’ve heard so much of is, oh my God, since 2000, it’s been worse than anything.
It really hasn’t. If you look back in history the 1870s through really the beginning of the 1920s,
And even into the forties and fifties, we had more hurricanes then. And the decade
41 to 50 during world war [00:08:00] II, of course we were fighting a war, so it really,
people didn’t really think about this, but 10 major hurricanes during that decade.
Jeff Kikel: When we look at our most recent decade,
we’ve had four major hurricanes and really for the last years, we’ve had not as m
Jeff Kikel: And a show, I think it was a few years back. It was
something talking about hurricanes and they were making the point that
we, we had a big period of time where we had major hurricanes and then we started to not
see as many for a while. And what has happened is, and this is what happened with Superstorm Sandy.
Jeff Kikel: Is for years, people have been building closer and closer and closer because
we didn’t have these major arcane’s right. And now, as they’re picking up again, boom,
these places are getting destroyed that are built literally right on the sand. If you
looked at this, back in the [00:09:00] 50s, you didn’t have all these major.
Jeff Kikel: Hotels, you didn’t have houses and all that were
literally built right on the water. At that point.
Ron Lang: I was looking that the most expensive hurricanes and storms,
and they said, Katrina, I think that was an old five was the most expensive
Jeff Kikel: hands down the most expensive. Cause that thing, it was partly the hurricane,
but it was also partly, it was a major part was the infrastructure,
which was so behind the times, and that was a combination of both the people.
Jeff Kikel: The leadership in New Orleans and a failure of the army corps of engineers. To really
keep up that, the machinery of that. And that, the reason it was so extensive was the bursting
of the levees and stuff like that. It wasn’t necessarily the hurricane, the winds and all that.
Jeff Kikel: It was the water afterwards. In the most recent. Few years,
we’ve had Ian and Ida. So about one of these big, things per year this year,
we’ve had a couple [00:10:00] in one year. So I think they’re going to be
big going back in time. The most, the, another biggie was of course, 2012, Sandy on the east.
Jeff Kikel: That was
Ron Lang: up by me when I was in Jersey, that was brutal.
Impact and Recovery from Hurricanes
Jeff Kikel: Yeah. And like I said, I think a lot of it is people got complacent. And kept
building closer and closer. And you go to some of these places and because you live there,
you go to some of these places and literally their house is
built where part of the day water is lapping up underneath the house.
Jeff Kikel: Any form of storm surge is going to wash that out even worse.
Ron Lang: Yeah. And I remember Andrew, I had friends that were in South Florida and I remember,
I think went through Miami university, went through all that area and just. communities.
Jeff Kikel: And for me, growing up in North Carolina and then going back and when I was
doing my internship in college with my national fraternity, that’s right when Hugo had hit.
Jeff Kikel: And I remember, I came back [00:11:00] After Hugo and did
my internship and I remember, Charlotte, which is way inland. Charlotte. Literally,
all the pine trees were just flat in there and then 1 of the guys
that I met during that trip. Was a was the dean of the college of Charleston.
Jeff Kikel: And we stayed at his house and he was like yeah, when Hugo hit, my house was like five
feet to the right of here at that point. Cause it got completely lifted off of its foundation
and moved. And this was probably a 4, 000 square foot house. That just got moved
around by the water. These things are bad and it, I’m not meaning to downplay any of this,
but the reality is, yes, it’s costly because stuff costs a lot more now to rebuild,
Ron Lang: But just materials alone, materials
Jeff Kikel: and finding the labor to go in and fix these things.
Jeff Kikel: I think you’ll always find the labor. It’s the materials that are
the tough part. That’s exactly right. But the problem is when these type of things happen,
it’s [00:12:00] finding the labor that knows what they’re doing. You can find labor that’s just
complete garbage that’s out there and then getting the materials and everything else.
Jeff Kikel: That’s what’s costing so much. But it’s, Stop. Yeah,
what I would say is stop listening to all the pundits who are talking about. Oh,
it’s different now and things have changed. Ron and I know from, being in the financial industry,
every time we hear, oh, it’s different or it’s the same or it’s different.
Jeff Kikel: Now, it usually is neither. At that point, that’s my little that’s maybe
Ron Lang: different but it’s similar.
Jeff Kikel: It’s
Ron Lang: similar
Jeff Kikel: Yeah, so I you know Once again, I take a look at this stuff and I like to
look at data And the data tells me that it’s not necessarily any worse. It’s just some of
these are a lot more expensive and we hadn’t experienced big hurricanes for
a while But in the past we experienced a heck of a lot of them And there was
not as robust of an insurance industry back then You To to [00:13:00] come in?
Ron Lang: No. And I the only worst thing I’ve gotta deal with here is monsoon
season in the, yeah. August, September timeframe, which , I was gonna say
it is for a few nonstop hundred degrees. Certainly not what they’re experiencing in the Gulf.
Jeff Kikel: Yeah, no, the nonstop a hundred degrees for several months.
Jeff Kikel: But yeah. It’s just. You know what you’re getting where you’re at that
point. Like I said, once again we’re there for all you guys. I made some donations here to
the relief efforts there because I just believe that we’ve got to help them as much as we can.
And that gets volunteers and, faith based organizations and everybody
else in there to help out because the government can’t do everything.
Jeff Kikel: And they typically don’t do it very well when they do. That’s all
Conclusion and Final Thoughts
I had for today. I want to thank you guys for watching. Please share this with your friends,
make sure you subscribe to the channel and we will be back with you the very next time.
[00:14:00]